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=> Everything Else => Topic started by: thundrio on October 14, 2010, 06:29:15 PM



Title: when is the 1000th race gonna take place.
Post by: thundrio on October 14, 2010, 06:29:15 PM
We seem to have been having lots of races (race 300 was on the 8th, we are at 336 iirc) so i wanted to start a betting pool. No idea what to bet but just put yourguess as to when .racehist 1000 will dislay an actual race. I think it will be febuary.

P.s. not a vote because you need your own guess (can be as sppecific or broad as you want)


Title: Re: when is the 1000th race gonna take place.
Post by: RingRush on October 14, 2010, 06:40:28 PM
Whenever jiano wants, since he can just take RBABot down after 999 races and wait until the date he predicted.


Title: Re: when is the 1000th race gonna take place.
Post by: Runnerguy2489 on October 15, 2010, 12:17:41 AM
August 7th, 2011


Title: Re: when is the 1000th race gonna take place.
Post by: Kaztalek on October 15, 2010, 01:18:38 AM
I took a look at the dates of every race and came up with a linear regression equation and have used that information to predict the date of the 1000th recorded race, and I can say with conviction that the race will occur after October, 14, 2010.


Title: Re: when is the 1000th race gonna take place.
Post by: Bonooru on October 16, 2010, 03:55:13 PM
i agree with kaztalek and after further analyzing the data it is safe to say that number 1000 will not happen before oct.16


Title: Re: when is the 1000th race gonna take place.
Post by: ING-X on October 16, 2010, 04:03:14 PM
iunno


Title: Re: when is the 1000th race gonna take place.
Post by: Will0 on October 17, 2010, 11:52:26 PM
December 21, 2012


Title: Re: when is the 1000th race gonna take place.
Post by: Externalist on October 18, 2010, 04:12:18 AM
After doing a comprehensive statistical analysis with industry software and by discussing with various statistics experts, I can say with high confidence that the race will occur at
2012, November 21, EST 21:13:34


Title: Re: when is the 1000th race gonna take place.
Post by: RingRush on October 18, 2010, 05:50:17 PM
Silly fools, when using statistics you have to have a confidence interval, not a confidence point.


Title: Re: when is the 1000th race gonna take place.
Post by: Kaztalek on October 18, 2010, 10:39:00 PM
Unless, like me, you are able to take every miniscule variable into account and are able to analyze it in that you can predict everything to a T in our deterministic world.


Title: Re: when is the 1000th race gonna take place.
Post by: thundrio on December 17, 2010, 06:40:21 AM
well, race 1000 happened on the morning of, december 17 at about 1:00 est.
[22:34]      <thundrio>.racehist 1000
[22:34]      <RBABot>Dec 17, 2010: monkeyball: Story Mode | 1. cosmo (00:56:54) | 2. thundrio (01:01:47) | 3. sicko (01:14:35) | Venick409 (Forfeit),

the way i see it the two closest people are boonoru(guessed after october 16) and i (guessed feb 1-feb 28).

boonoru was 62 days off, and i was 46 days off